JHK Forecasts: 2024 Presidential Election
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated daily, this is an electoral map projection based on JHK Forecasts presidential election forecast. This data-driven model was created by Jack Kersting.
Outputs from the model drive much of the 270toWin 2024 election simulator.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (85%+), Dark (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Sabato's Crystal Ball Initial 2025-26 Gubernatorial Ratings
38 seats will hold elections through 2026, including New Jersey and Virginia this year
Live Results: April 29 Iowa and Minnesota Legislative Special Elections
Vacancies will be filled in the Iowa State House and Minnesota State Senate
Rep. Andy Barr Running to Succeed Sen. Mitch McConnell
A closely-contested primary against former Attorney General Daniel Cameron is expected.
Live Results: April 22 Connecticut and Mississippi State House Special Elections
Three vacancies will be filled across these two states
Michigan Rep. Haley Stevens Running for U.S. Senate
She will look to succeed retiring fellow Democratic Sen. Gary Peters
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